Cost structure

Costs are in euros per month.

developer pay (one person) 3000
office rent (50% of apartment rent) 200
food 200
hardware amortisation 150
electricity, consumables, phone 70
internet access 40
web hosting 10
domain names 5
total 3675

Costs: about 50k euros / year.

Return:

Probability Gain
80% 0
15% 100k
4% 500k
1% 5000k

This means that with 80% chance the project will be a complete failure, and will bring nothing (0 gain).
With 15% probability it will have a little success and bring a small return (100k), etc (these figures are
very rugh estimates, and don’t have any solid base).

Expected return: 85k euros (the weighted average of the possible gains), with very high risk.

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two to the power ten (2^10)